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What is behind the progress of speed in digital communications? For example going from analog modems to high-speed DSL/DOCSIS on the same old metalic lines...

Why wasn't for example 256-QAM possible before 15 years? What is the difference between 16-QAM and 256-QAM (or even 2048-QAM as mentioned on wikipedia) in this regard? I understand that it needs better SNR / sensitivity to distinguish between all the values, but we are somehow able to get that on the same old cables.

Is it that the math for this was too complicated? Or it was not possible to manufacture components which would meet the computed specs? What parameter was problematic? If manufacturing was the issue, what new invention / technology helped?

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  • \$\begingroup\$ Phase noise is the biggest single issue. \$\endgroup\$ Commented Jan 26, 2017 at 14:50
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    \$\begingroup\$ Adaptive equalisation (automatic correction for line defects) had to improve first. \$\endgroup\$
    – user16324
    Commented Jan 26, 2017 at 14:56
  • \$\begingroup\$ And widespread adoption only occurred when the cost of the required DSP hardware (for adaptive equalization) dropped low enough. \$\endgroup\$
    – Dave Tweed
    Commented Jan 27, 2017 at 3:30
  • \$\begingroup\$ Are you sure 2048-QAM is mentioned on WIkipedia? en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2048-QAM just redirects to the generic QAM page. \$\endgroup\$
    – AJM
    Commented May 5, 2021 at 21:05
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    \$\begingroup\$ @AJM-Reinstate-Monica Wikipedia for DOCSIS mentiones it: DOCSIS 3.1 adds 16-QAM, 128-QAM, 512-QAM, 1024-QAM, 2048-QAM and 4096-QAM \$\endgroup\$
    – Marki555
    Commented May 8, 2021 at 21:58

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Probably because it was really hard? As you move to bigger and bigger constellations, you need several things to improve:

  • You need more dynamic range on your ADCs as you need to discern between smaller changes in amplitude.

  • You need more linear mixers as non-linearity can move points areound the constellation or in some cases make different points overlap. Saturating your mixer makes the outer edge points move in towards the center

  • You need more stable clock sources (i.e. phase noise as peter mentioned). Phase noise causes the points to dance around and can cause the constellation to get rotated.

  • You need more processing power to decode the symbols. This is partly because you're trying to discern between more levels (goes hand-in-hand with higher ADc precision). You're also going to need to perform more error checking and more compensation.

  • You need (most of the time) some way to compensate for things like multipath interference, fading, motion etc. These effects are almost always compensated for in software (partly because they are highly dynamic and require constant adjustments) this places a big load on your processor.

All kinds of things that were either less of an issue or not even relevant before, and it only gets worse as the constellations get bigger and the symbol rates get higher. There wasn't any one single invention that helped. It was a mix of steadily improving technology, better error correcting and signal path compensation algorithms, but I think the fact that as time went on, the fact that people required more and more bandwidth played a big role. Never underestimate market pressure as a driving factor in technological development.

(note: symbol rate and data rate are not the same thing).

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Oh, it was perfectly possible, just you as a consumer wouldn't have been able to afford it. Market pressures mostly dictate what reaches the consumer market, and the market of telecom utilities providing the services.

As the constellation gets bigger, it takes more capable semiconductors to process it. These more capable semiconductors initially cost way more than the consumer market can afford.

It's the same reason people didn't play 3D games on a CRAY1 at home, even though it was perfectly technologically feasible, and you could get stunning graphics out of it, with a custom framebuffer and a custom monitor capable of displaying it. Whereas today, with much better semiconductors, you get >100x the computing power of CRAY-1, and 1000x its RAM, in a mobile phone.

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A compelling "need" spurs introduction of advanced technology to widespread adoption. Your examples had been in use for years before being applied in end-customer equipment.
In the case of your examples, the last-mile problem spurred the introduction of advanced carrier modulation to increase available data rates into the home. Certainly, twisted pair telephone lines were designed to carry voice, not data.

Previous examples of modulation advances to accommodate a need:

  • FM stereo previously mono, multiplexing applied to allow left + right channels.

  • Colour TV previously black-and-white. Colour subcarrier modulation added.

One big challenge in these adaptations is maintaining compatibility with the original intent - allowing old equipment to still accept a modified signal. Adding modulation dimensions is a common way of providing the desired extras, where signals are well above the noise.

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