If I have a photovoltaic system that outputs 100 kWh from 1PM - 2PM on a given day and I am trying to figure out what the average 15 minute kW would be during that time period, would that be equal to 100 kW?
The reason I'm trying to figure this out is so I can model the MN Xcel Energy PV Demand Rider Tariff outlined below. I have production data hourly for an entire year for the system we are trying to model this against but no one seems to be able to tell me if the data I have will work or if I need to convert it somehow. The specific part I am trying to model is the verbiage under the CREDIT KWH LIMIT paragraph.
PHOTOVOLTAIC DEMAND CREDIT RIDER RATE CODE A86. Customer Charge per Month $25.75. Credit per kWh of Peak Period Solar Photovoltaic Generation (A86 - Standard) $0.069648
CREDIT KWH LIMIT
The maximum kWh applied to the Rider credit per kWh each billing period is the Peak Period maximum 15-minute Solar Photovoltaic kW output for the billing period times 100 hours for billing periods ending in the months of June, July, August or September and 75 hours for billing periods ending in other months.
CREDIT LIMIT The maximum credit for each billing period is the applicable standard or on-peak billed demand charge from the base tariff associated with this Rider. For Peak-Controlled Service and Peak-Controlled Time of Day Service customers, the maximum credit for each billing period is the billed demand charge for Firm Demand.
DEFINITION OF PEAK PERIOD
Peak period hours are the six hours between 1:00 p.m. and 7 p.m. for all days.
The size of the system is 180 kW DC, 450 x 400 watt panels. The data I have shows me hourly kWh produced for every 1 hour period over a year. This is a theoretical system modeled for a customer using Aurora's modeling tool, what I am doing is trying to model the saving credit for a year based on the top performing 1 hour period of each month and using the multiplier stated in the Tariff.
I realize that I might be under estimating by a little bit but I am fine doing that, don't want to over estimate, the assumption I am making is that to produce 100 kWh over a 1 hour period, then my peak has to be at least 100 kW during that period. I realize in reality that peak will probably be higher during a portion of that hour and lower during other portions of that hour, but the peak minimum has to be at least 100 kW to produce that.
Also so everyone is aware, the Aurora modeling I am doing has 16% loss built into it for things like snow load, soiling on the panels, potential for loss in the wiring etc... this system is also taking into account an potential shading and the different angles and azimuths the panels will be placed at.
After reading everyone's comments, I think I will be good to model the savings with the numbers I have, note this Tariff also has a max credit limit that can not exceed the amount of the billed demand charge. If my 100 kW minimum Max peak assumption is good, then I can use that formula from the yearly data I have for each month and then model that savings for each year pretty easily in a spreadsheet, also reflecting the panel degradation that is expected for each year.