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Andy aka
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I'm fairly certain that you have reached the limits of sampling resolution on your ADC attached to the thermistor: -

enter image description here

I changed the background colour on a sample of your picture to make it easier to view.

Try sampling 4 times faster and averaging to improve resolution by one bit to prove the point. Maybe add a circuit that utilizes more ADC resolution around the thermistor values you require.

Andy aka
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