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What's the best way to test if a batch of batteries that I ordered will last as long as advertised?

I tried to buy a Lithium-Ion battery recently from a shop in my country, but the owner candidly told me that it would fail within a few years. It seems that the safest way to avoid this is to order the batteries directly from their source (China) and test them to make sure that what was sent me is actually going to be high-quality.

There's lots of videos online showing how to charge and discharge a cell to test its capacity, resistance, and temperature to make sure that they're all operating within the specifications for the cell.

But I couldn't find any information on how to test if a given order of LiFePO4 batteries would actually be able to live as long as they were advertised.

LiFePO4 batteries can last in excess of 10,000 cycles. If cycled twice per day, that's over 13 years! Is there any way to test this attribute without waiting years for a test to complete?

What's the best industrial-quality way to do a QA check on a newly purchased set of battery cells to see if they will be able to provide the number of cycles expected?

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  • \$\begingroup\$ See also How to test a lithium battery?, which doesn't address number of cycles \$\endgroup\$ Commented Oct 13 at 4:19
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    \$\begingroup\$ The fact that there is no definitive answer is the limiting factor in the battery development. In a lot of cases, vendors advertise battery life that they are yet to see themselves. \$\endgroup\$
    – fraxinus
    Commented Oct 13 at 14:35
  • \$\begingroup\$ I had a similar question downvoted and deleted with the comments "Duh! Buy from a reputable company, no need to independently verify things!". Maybe I should ask again since it seems to be on-topic now. \$\endgroup\$
    – pipe
    Commented Oct 14 at 11:25

2 Answers 2

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What's the best way to test if a batch of batteries that I ordered will last as long as advertised?

Buy three of the batteries, discharge one with a current profile that matches your application (an LCD pocket watch with a near-constant current draw of 1µA will affect a battery differently than power drill with a 10⁻⁶ duty cycle of 1A current). This will give you a discharge curve that will tell you after how much charge drawn you can still get sufficient voltage.

Put another one in a thermal chamber for two times (e.g.,) 100 hours at the top edge of its specified temperature range, and measure voltage under load before, between and after. This will allow you to estimate self-discharge under "normal" temperature, based on the usual exponential model of self-discharge speed vs temperature.

Use the third one.

Now, you ask about cycles, and that I explicitly don't mention: That's because it's really hard to predict; expect a lot of change during the first cycles (and that will depend a lot on how you charge and how much you discharge in between, aside from temperature, which is a very significant factor in how much charging changes a battery), and less later on. How many "the first" are will depend a lot on the individual battery, the charging speed, and the discharging speed, as well as at which temperatures this all happens. I don't really think there's a known shortcut around actually doing a couple dozen to hundred cycles in a temperature-controlled chamber.

Re industrial testing: I'm not a battery expert myself; a friend of mine used to be resident physical chemist in the battery acquisition department of a large car manufacturer. He told me that buying batteries for automotive-grade reliability (and that will involve mostly how well they work after hundreds of cycles) involves intense cycle testing, chemical/spectroscopical analysis, local inspection of the would-be suppliers' factories (makes a lot of a difference to battery stability how well the manufacturing process precludes metal dust from polluting the electrolyte), and continuous long-term testing even after you agreed to buy a large number of cells over a period of time, to make sure you don't have to recall battery packs that already made it to the customer. Don't really think a "I tested it for an hour and thus know well enough how this battery will perform in the field for 1000 cycles" does exist, if that's the effort these guys have to take.

As a data point for how hard battery characterization, and optimal battery usage is: This¹ very recent (published merely two months ago) paper says that common knowledge on how to form lithium batteries in the last product step is wrong, and only after rigorous testing of a somewhat sensible range of parameters they could show that the industry has been doing it "wrong" in terms of maximizing useful cycles. And "wrong" to the tune of "up to 70% of battery life time left on table due to common knowledge being wrong".

So, we might really be in an interesting time of battery research, where the models of batteries we have aren't that great, but we do a lot with them. Not an optimal place, though, to extrapolate from limited data!


¹: Cui, Xiao, et al. "Data-driven analysis of battery formation reveals the role of electrode utilization in extending cycle life." Joule (2024)., available as HTML online

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Test for early failures

Like many products, batteries tend to follow the bathtub curve, where failures early and late in the life are more common than midway.

You can charge-discharge the battery for 5-10 cycles and then measure the capacity, to verify it is still within the manufacturer specs. Note that it is normal for the capacity to change a bit during the first few usages (break-in period), but it should still provide at least what was promised.

This won't catch all issues, but it is a practical way to do it and lets you know of any obvious failures early enough that you can return the battery and get your money back.

Extensive testing can give more information, but it will also wear out the battery being tested. And if you only test one battery, you don't know if 99% or just 50% of the batteries made by the manufacturer are good. Testing a bunch of batteries to thousands of cycles only starts to make sense if you are buying hundreds of them for a large installation.

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  • \$\begingroup\$ I like this answer! The hard part will be knowing how many batteries you need to test to get meaningful information about how long the ones you use will last - that will need knowledge on how the error is distributed ("bathtub" is a bit too loose to allow for statistical modelling, you'll need to have a parameterizable model for cumulative failure probability over usage) and correlated (how much does 1 battery failing say about other batteries in the same production batch? in other production batches?) \$\endgroup\$ Commented Oct 13 at 20:19
  • \$\begingroup\$ I would test all the batteries for 10 cycles, if reliability is important. \$\endgroup\$
    – jpa
    Commented Oct 14 at 9:54
  • \$\begingroup\$ that seems to be pretty optimistic! \$\endgroup\$ Commented Oct 14 at 9:55

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